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Oil Falls 5% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes as Copper Hits a Record

Mayank Kumar
Written By Mayank Kumar
Copper Sets Record and Zinc Hits Four-Year High as Oil Drops

Commodity markets split on Wednesday, with easing geopolitical risk pulling crude lower while supply constraints lifted industrial metals. Crude oil prices fell about 5% in the market backdrop described by CNBC TV18, as hopes for a US-Iran ceasefire reduced concerns about disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz. Copper, meanwhile, extended its gains to record levels, while zinc climbed to a more than four-year high amid mine disruptions. Gold was more subdued after a recent four-day rally, with traders watching the dollar, bond yields and upcoming US inflation data. Different forces are driving each market. Oil is responding to geopolitics and inventories, while industrial metals track supply constraints and infrastructure demand.

Oil Falls As Iran Talks Ease Supply Concerns

Crude oil was the clearest decliner among the commodities covered in the latest market reports. CNBC TV18’s commodity report said oil prices had fallen around 5% on hopes of a US-Iran ceasefire. The move followed discussions between Iran and Oman over an interim framework that could help restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a major route for global oil and gas supplies. Ole Hansen of Saxo Bank pointed to the same development in his market update on X, saying crude was trading lower for a third day as the Iran-Oman discussions raised the possibility of an easing in the conflict. He also noted that recent US economic measures against Iran were less severe than expected, another factor that could reduce expectations of a prolonged disruption.

The supply picture is adding to the pressure. Hansen said the American Petroleum Institute had reported another increase in US crude inventories. If confirmed by the Energy Information Administration, that would represent a fourth consecutive weekly build. Higher inventories can indicate that more crude is available in the market relative to immediate demand, although the official EIA figures remain important for confirming the trend. Reuters similarly reported that Brent crude had fallen for a third consecutive day, with prices affected by expectations that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen.

The decline in oil also has implications beyond the energy market. Lower crude prices can reduce some inflation pressure, particularly through energy costs. That can affect expectations for interest rates and bond yields, which in turn can influence other commodities and financial markets. Copper is moving in the opposite direction. Hansen said London Metal Exchange copper rose 0.5% to $14,415.50 a tonne after a record close, with near-term supply remaining tight. Large shipments to the US have been drawing down inventories elsewhere, while mine production has struggled to keep pace with demand.

Copper Holds Near Record on Tight Supply

Copper’s rise cuts both ways. Higher prices benefit producing countries such as Australia while raising costs for transmission networks, renewable projects, storage, electric vehicles and data centres. Copper demand linked to EVs, renewable energy and data centers has also been cited by Indian commodity analysts as a factor supporting prices.

Zinc Hits Four-Year High as Gold Steadies

Zinc is showing another supply-driven move. Zinc climbed to a more than four-year high as mine disruptions restricted supply, CNBC TV18 reported. Rubber prices were also described as firm, with heavy rainfall in Thailand and El Niño risks creating concerns around production. Gold is following a different set of drivers. In her X post, technical analyst Jennie said gold was trading around $4,629 and had entered a high-level consolidation phase after reaching $4,697. She identified $4,655-$4,665 and $4,673-$4,697 as resistance, with support around $4,632-$4,638 and $4,600-$4,605. These are technical levels from her analysis rather than market-wide forecasts.

Hansen said gold had already gained more than 7% during its recent four-day rally. He identified a stronger dollar as a headwind, while lower oil prices and potentially lower bond yields could provide some support. Reuters also reported that gold was trading near a three-month high as investors assessed lower oil prices and upcoming US inflation data. The commodity moves show different markets responding to different conditions: oil to geopolitical and inventory developments, industrial metals to supply constraints, and gold to the dollar, yields and expectations for US monetary policy.

Mayank Kumar
Written By

Mayank Kumar

Mayank Kumar has been a gamer since 2006, starting with the Game Boy and Nintendo DS. That passion has since grown into tournament play, streaming, and strong ties to the gaming community — experience he now brings to his coverage of crypto markets and trading trends at Times of Trading.

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